Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.Treasury yields fell, while the Bloomberg dollar spot index erased gains.The core inflation in the United States remained stable, increasing by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month, and the CPI in the United States continued to rise in November, which aggravated people's concerns that the process of curbing inflation was stagnant. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core CPI excluding food and energy costs rose by 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. Compared with a year ago, it has increased by 3.3%. After the data is released, it is still very likely that Fed policymakers will cut interest rates at next week's meeting. Although the price pressure has dropped from the peak during the pandemic recovery, the recent progress has stabilized. This, coupled with the fading concerns about the labor market, helps explain why several Fed officials advocate a more gradual rate cut.
CEO of Wells Fargo: The situation of low-end consumers is even more difficult. Consumer credit is still very strong.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.Chongqing released the third batch of 700 collaborative development projects of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, with a total investment of over 271 billion yuan. On the 11th, the third round of project release activities of Chongqing's state-owned enterprises, private enterprises and foreign enterprises linked with Wanzhou Bank and the collaborative development of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises was held in Wanzhou District, Chongqing, and 700 collaborative development projects of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises in 2024 were released on the spot, with a total investment of over 271 billion yuan. Three rounds of contract signing were held on site, with a total investment of 46.5 billion yuan. (Zhongxin. com)
Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.UN Secretary-General Guterres: We have the responsibility to make every effort to support different Syrian leaders and ensure that they come together.Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13